Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.001239 0.001283 0.001328 0.001377 0.001429 0.001484 0.001545
2025-08-17 0.001156 0.001219 0.001286 0.001362 0.001447 0.001539 0.001646
2025-08-24 0.001091 0.001167 0.001250 0.001347 0.001458 0.001582 0.001733
2025-08-31 0.001062 0.001150 0.001248 0.001366 0.001506 0.001668 0.001873
2025-09-07 0.001029 0.001126 0.001236 0.001371 0.001534 0.001729 0.001986
2025-09-14 0.000992 0.001094 0.001212 0.001358 0.001540 0.001762 0.002064
2025-09-21 0.000957 0.001063 0.001186 0.001341 0.001538 0.001783 0.002126
2025-09-28 0.000930 0.001039 0.001167 0.001331 0.001542 0.001812 0.002199
2025-10-05 0.000889 0.000997 0.001125 0.001290 0.001504 0.001783 0.002188
2025-10-12 0.000867 0.000977 0.001108 0.001280 0.001506 0.001804 0.002250
2025-10-19 0.000852 0.000965 0.001100 0.001280 0.001521 0.001845 0.002342
2025-10-26 0.000833 0.000947 0.001085 0.001270 0.001520 0.001863 0.002400
2025-11-02 0.000822 0.000939 0.001083 0.001278 0.001546 0.001920 0.002526
2025-11-09 0.000806 0.000924 0.001071 0.001272 0.001551 0.001948 0.002608
2025-11-16 0.000788 0.000907 0.001056 0.001260 0.001548 0.001965 0.002672
2025-11-23 0.000784 0.000908 0.001062 0.001279 0.001589 0.002048 0.002859
2025-11-30 0.000775 0.000900 0.001059 0.001283 0.001609 0.002101 0.002997
2025-12-07 0.000760 0.000885 0.001045 0.001272 0.001606 0.002117 0.003069
2025-12-14 0.000744 0.000869 0.001029 0.001257 0.001596 0.002121 0.003119
2025-12-21 0.000732 0.000856 0.001017 0.001248 0.001594 0.002138 0.003195
2025-12-28 0.000709 0.000830 0.000986 0.001212 0.001549 0.002080 0.003117
2026-01-04 0.000697 0.000818 0.000975 0.001202 0.001546 0.002092 0.003182
2026-01-11 0.000690 0.000812 0.000971 0.001203 0.001558 0.002131 0.003307